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Akst: What price for salad & breadsticks?

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The deal hasn’t been inked.

But given glowing remarks Monday from the mayor and City Council, the city manager’s recommendation, the endorsement of this newspaper and the desire of residents, it’s safe to say DeKalb will loan the world’s largest restaurant corporation ($8 billion in annual sales) $900,000 to build an Olive Garden.

If we don’t, it would be a “deal breaker,” and DeKalb needs to show Darden Restaurants, Inc. (Olive Garden’s parent company) that we have “skin in the game.”

Phrases like “deal breaker” or “skin in the game” imply that assistance for a new business is absolutely critical and the startup is sweating enormous risk.

In this case, that’s ridiculous. If demolition and refurbishment of the lot Small’s Furniture City once occupied is such a hindrance, there are vacant lots around DeKalb which would attract the same customers. True, an upscale restaurant would likely brighten that area and attract new businesses.

But overwhelmingly, evidence that the deal constitutes nearly zero risk – for Darden – comes from Darden’s data and commentary.

According to its 2012 annual report, Olive Garden’s 792 stores generated $3.6 billion in sales; each store averaged $4.7 million. Total Darden sales amounted to $8 billion, a 6.6 percent increase over fiscal 2011’s $7.5 billion in sales. And, it recently scraped up $585 million to buy Yard House USA restaurants.

Trudy Blakeman, director of incentives, property and sales taxes for Darden, said, “When we make a $4.5 million investment, that’s Darden’s capital. We will be a part of your community for a very, very long time.”

But only if DeKalb fronts this money, because according to Allea Newbold, who works for a tax services firm Darden hires for consulting, the chain does not build restaurants if there are “extra costs.”

DeKalb stands to gain $180,000 to $195,000 a year in sales tax revenues, according to Roger Hopkins, the city’s economic development coordinator, and estimates are that the loan would be repaid in 4 to 5 years. And, residents who crave its fare will be happy.

To recap: Nothing is certain, but it’s extremely likely that Olive Garden in DeKalb will make lots of money.

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